The sun will not be shining as it was two years ago. The smiles will not be on faces. There will be an earnest rededication of the central mission of the coalition - but with the emphasis this time less on dealing with the deficit than on getting the economy moving again.
That tells its own story.
Both David Cameron and Nick Clegg know that for all the talk of House of Lords reform or gay marriage, the reality of their problem is that the economy is not shifting and they've got to get it to move.
They'll say the answer to that is not to change their deficit reduction strategy but to redouble their efforts on things like banking reform, getting credit moving and getting infrastructure built.
But there's a disjunction between what goes on in parliament day to day and what the coalition wants to tell the electorate they're doing to get the economy moving.
The great difficulty for this government is that its parliamentary agenda for the next year, as presented in the Queen's Speech tomorrow, may look completely divorced from what they say are its priorities and that its supporters care about.
Why? Because you end up with bills that are the result of coalition negotiations to, for example, reform the House of Lords.
It's possible to carry out that reform at the same time as getting the economy moving. But if it prompts a row between and within both coalition parties then it'll be a row that makes it on to the main news bulletins, and it may look as though your priorities are completely different from the public's.
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